2-1. Why a “100% Win-Rate Stock Strategy” Cannot Exist in This World

The Real Reason Your Account Is Forever Stagnant

No matter where you live, if you are searching for an “absolutely foolproof trading method” in this capitalist arena, close this window immediately and live the rest of your life in poverty. The innovative smartphone praised as the absolute best yesterday becomes obsolete trash the moment a competitor releases a new product today. A single heavy rainfall in Brazil instantly skyrockets the price of the coffee beans you drank this morning.

That is how the world originally works. The reality we stand on does not pause for a single second; it mutates every moment. When all things in the world endlessly fluctuate, there is no way the capitalist market remains fixed.

Yet, the market is crawling with fools searching for eternal trading techniques and fixed values. I say this with absolute certainty: there is no such thing as an immutable, fixed truth in this arena. Every meaning and value changes by the second, and the perfect answer that worked yesterday turning into a wrong answer that blows up your account today is the natural physiology of this market. Let us dissect this obvious essence through the raw facts of everyday life.

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Navigation Algorithms and the Convenience Store: The End of a Crowded Shortcut

In the past, I discovered a brilliant back-alley shortcut on my way to work that nobody else knew about. For the first few days, I had a monopoly on that pleasant route, humming to myself. Thanks to the time saved, I even enjoyed the luxury of leisurely dropping by a local convenience store to grab a bite.

But that peace did not last long. Soon, quick-witted taxi drivers swarmed in, and a month later, navigation algorithms flashed it onto tens of thousands of smartphones as the “optimal route.” Ultimately, the pleasant shortcut I had found transformed into a heavily congested, ordinary commuting road as people’s convenience and needs flooded in.

Naturally, I lost the golden time to visit the convenience store. Then one day, when I left the house earlier than usual and stopped by the store, I felt a very strange sense of incongruity. The shelves that used to be empty with only a few scraps left when I hummed my way in were now fully stocked with fresh food that no one had touched yet, simply because the crowd hadn’t arrived.

This is the fundamental reason why all value in capitalism changes in real-time. The moment people’s desires flock to something valuable, its essence is destroyed or morphed into something completely different. Only the pioneer who moves earlier than the crowd seizes the opportunity of the “fully stocked shelf,” untainted by the greed of others.

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The Observer Alters the Object (Mother Nature vs. Capitalism)

The providence of nature and the rules of human-made capital follow entirely different trajectories.

• The Law of Nature (Immutable): Water flows from high to low, and apples fall to the ground. Whether there is 1 observer or 1 million, this truth never changes.
• The Law of Capital (Mutable): The state of profitable information or a stellar company changes the moment people swarm it. An opportunity to buy assets cheaply (the shortcut) morphs into an unattractive, overpriced position (the jammed road) the second the crowd intervenes.

Suppose there is a small, rundown, but delicious diner in your neighborhood. When only you know about it, it is a quiet place where you can enjoy a hearty meal for six bucks. But the moment it appears on TV and tens of thousands of observers flock to it, prices surge, lines stretch out, and the value of that once-relaxed diner evaporates. The inherent value of an object is diluted in real-time the moment people’s needs swarm it.

“There is nothing permanent except change.”

— Heraclitus

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The Delusion of a Blown Account Trying to Shoot a Stationary Target

The value of solid companies firmly established in the stock market continuously changes based on the exact same principle. When rumors spread that a company is posting solid earnings, starving capital from all over the world rushes in.

The true essence of the company remains exactly the same, but only its price inflates. Ultimately, the essence of a “good stock” instantly morphs into an “overpriced, unattractive stock” driven by the herd mentality of the masses.

The capitalism we face is not a stationary target. Do not be fooled by the bullshit of fake experts claiming they can predict the future with obvious patterns or a few technical indicators. This market is a massive organism that constantly changes shape to survive. Therefore, blindly trusting a technique that supposedly works forever is as pathetic as gripping a blown account and throwing a tantrum on a jammed road, screaming, “This was a shortcut a month ago!”

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Adjust Your Trajectory with Frequent Contemplation and Trust Mechanical Rules

Coldly acknowledge the simple logic that all meaning and value in this world mutate the instant human herding intervenes. You can only survive flexibly in this market when you empty out the illusion of permanence and the stubbornness to control it.

The answer is simple. Abandon the arrogance of trying to grasp it. Just accept the raw uncertainty of the market by acknowledging, “Ah, everything inherently changes.” By letting go of the exhausting act of prediction and entrusting your body to mechanical rules where emotions cannot intervene, market volatility finally transforms from a source of terror into a weapon of compound interest.

Do not anchor yourself to fixed hypotheses; constantly observe the world with a light mind and flexibly adjust your trajectory atop a mechanical system. I sincerely hope that even in the midst of a violently fluctuating market, you silently uphold your own solid principles like a machine, ultimately defending your peaceful daily life to the very end.

“Are you currently stuck on a congested ‘shortcut’ of the past holding a blown account, or are you walking a new path in a constantly changing market with mechanical rules and flexible contemplation?”